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Sunday, May 17, 2020 | History

7 edition of Regression and time series model selection found in the catalog.

Regression and time series model selection

by Allan D. R. McQuarrie

  • 105 Want to read
  • 8 Currently reading

Published by World Scientific in Singapore, River Edge, N.J .
Written in English

    Subjects:
  • Regression analysis.,
  • Time-series analysis.,
  • Mathematical models.

  • Edition Notes

    Includes bibliographical references (p. 430-439) and indexes.

    StatementAllan D.R. McQuarrie, Chih-Ling Tsai.
    ContributionsTsai, Chih-Ling.
    Classifications
    LC ClassificationsQA278.2 .M42 1998
    The Physical Object
    Paginationxxi, 455 p. :
    Number of Pages455
    ID Numbers
    Open LibraryOL469043M
    ISBN 10981023242X
    LC Control Number98190995
    OCLC/WorldCa39719241

    Static Models Suppose that we have time series data available on two variables, say y and z, where y t and z t are dated contemporaneously. A static model relating y to z is y t 0 1 z t u t, t 1,2, , n. () The name “static model” comes from the fact that we are modeling a contemporaneousFile Size: KB. Model selection is the task of selecting a statistical model from a set of candidate models, given data. In the simplest cases, a pre-existing set of data is considered. However, the task can also involve the design of experiments such that the data collected is well-suited to the problem of model selection. Given candidate models of similar predictive or explanatory power, the simplest model.

    Pablo Gluzmann & Demian Panigo, "Global search regression: A new automatic model-selection technique for cross-section, time-series, and panel-data regressions," Stata Journal, StataCorp LP, vol. 15(2), pages , June.   When it comes to analysis of time series, just because you can, doesn’t mean you should, particularly with regards to regression. In short, if you have highly autoregressive time series and you build an OLS model, you will find estimates and t-statistics indicating a .

    regressors in multivariate time series models. Key words and phrases: Multivariate stochastic regression, orthogonal greedy algo-rithm, rank selection, sparsity, time series. 1. Introduction Multivariate time series analysis is one of Professor Tiao’s major areas of research, to which he has made many seminal contributions. According to Pena˜Author: Tze Leung Lai, Ka Wai Tsang.   Query Google Trends Explore and Decompose the Series Model the Linear Relationship Accounting for Autocorrelation Summary A little over a month ago Rob Hyndman finished the 2nd edition of his open source book Forecasting: Principles and Practice. Take a look, it’s a fantastic introduction and companion to applied time series modeling using R. It made me I rediscover the tslm()-function of.


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Regression and time series model selection by Allan D. R. McQuarrie Download PDF EPUB FB2

It includes model selection techniques for univariate and multivariate regression models, univariate and multivariate autoregressive models, nonparametric (including wavelets) and semiparametric regression models, and quasi-likelihood and robust regression models.

Information-based model selection criteria are discussed, and small sample and asymptotic properties. Information-based model-selection criteria are discussed, and small-sample and asymptotic properties are presented. The book also provides examples and large-scale simulation studies comparing the performances of information-based model-selection criteria, bootstrapping and cross-validation selection methods over a range of models.

Regression and time series model selection. [Allan D R McQuarrie; Chih-Ling Tsai] -- This important book describes procedures for selecting a model from a large set of competing statistical models. It includes model selection techniques for univariate and multivariate regression.

System Upgrade on Tue, May 19th, at 2am (ET) During this period, E-commerce and registration of new users may not be available for up to 12 hours.

This book introduces the reader to newer developments and more diverse regression models and methods for time series analysis. Accessible to anyone who is familiar with the basic modern concepts of statistical inference, Regression Models for Time Series Analysis provides a much-needed examination of recent statistical by: AIC is probably the most commonly used model selection criterion for time series data.

The most fundamental model in time series analysis is autoregressive model [2]. In the autoregressive model. of AIC~for selection of nonstationary autoregressive and mixed autoregressive-moving average time series models. The remainder of this paper is organized as follows. Section 2 develops AICc for general regression models, and presents Monte Carlo results for linear regression model Size: KB.

Model Selection Criteria Residuals This book introduces the reader to relatively newer developments and somewhat It has been written against the backdrop of a vast modern literature on regression methods for time series and related topics as is apparent from the long list of references.

Regression and time series model selection. [Allan D R McQuarrie; Chih-Ling Tsai] Print book: EnglishView all editions and formats: Introduction -- Ch. The Univariate Regression Model -- Ch. The Univariate Autoregressive Model -- Ch. The Multivariate Regression Model -- Ch. The Vector Autoregressive Model -- Ch.

Model Description. Model Structure and Notation. Distance Measures. Selected Derivations of Model Selection Criteria. L 2-based Criteria FPE and Cp. Kullback–Leibler-based Criteria AIC and AICc.

Consistent Criteria SIC and HQ. Moments of Model Selection Criteria. AIC and AICc. SIC and HQ. Signal-to-noise Corrected Variants. AICu. HQc. This important book describes procedures for selecting a model from a large set of competing statistical models. It includes model selection techniques for univariate and multivariate regression models, univariate and multivariate autoregressive models, nonparametric (including wavelets) and semiparametric regression models, and quasi-likelihood and robust regression models.

Time series modeling and forecasting has fundamental importance to various practical domains. Thus a lot of active research works is going on in this subject during several years. Many important models have been proposed in literature for improving the accuracy and effeciency of time series modeling and Cited by: Christensen: Linear Models for Multivariate, Time Series, and Spatial Data Christensen: Log-Linear Models and Logistic Regression, Second Edition Creighton: A First Course in Probability Models and Statistical Inference Dean and Voss: Design and Analysis of Experiments du Toit, Steyn, and Stumpf: Graphical Exploratory Data Analysis.

of AICC for selection of nonstationary autoregressive and mixed autoregressive-moving average time series models. The remainder of this paper is organized as follows. Section 2 develops AICC for general regression models, and presents Monte Carlo results for linear regression model Size: KB.

Hurvich, C. and Tsai, C. () Regression and Time Series Model Selection in Small Samples. Biometrika, 76, Chapter 9 Dynamic regression models. The time series models in the previous two chapters allow for the inclusion of information from past observations of a series, but not for the inclusion of other information that may also be relevant.

Provides train/test indices to split time series data samples that are observed at fixed time intervals, in train/test sets. In each split, test indices must be higher than before, and thus shuffling in cross validator is inappropriate. This cross-validation object is a variation of KFold.

In the kth split, it. Model selection techniques in time series analysis 4. Model selection We can construct a selection procedure by using one of test statistics introduced in the previous sections.

However, it is not so good an idea to repeat such testing for various p and by: Selection of the Best Subset of Variables in Regression and Time Series Models: /ch The problem of variable selection is one of the most pervasive model selection problems in statistical applications.

Often referred to as the problem ofCited by: 1. Regression methods have been an integral part of time series analysis for over a century. Recently, new developments have made major strides in such areas as non-continuous data where a linear model is not appropriate.

This book introduces the reader to newer developments and more diverse regression models and methods for time series analysis. The basic motivation of the study is to combine the points of view of model selection and functional regression by using a factor approach: it is assumed that the predictor vector can be.Introduction to Time Series Data and Serial Correlation (SW Section ) First, some notation and terminology.

Notation for time series data Y t = value of Y in period t. Data set: Y 1,Y T = T observations on the time series random variable Y We consider only consecutive, evenly-spaced observations (for example, monthly, tonoFile Size: 2MB.•Regression modelling goal is complicated when the researcher uses time series data since an explanatory variable may influence a dependent variable with a time lag.

This often necessitates the inclusion of lags of the explanatory variable in the regression. •If “time” is the unit of analysis we can still regress some dependentFile Size: 2MB.